0xb74b9503d71AB2771CF6D86c84C53141bb10b853-1779492342210
0xb74b9503d71ab2771cf6d86c84c53141bb10b853
- Realised P&L
- $-881.78
- Volume
- $110.8k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $33.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$190.16at 0.156US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$160.86at 0.009US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$106.39at 0.563US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$83.31at 0.208Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
- +$41.00at 0.250Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:27 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.84 |
| 08-02 14:26 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.85 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.20 |
| 08-01 23:40 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.0713532295 | $1.15 |
| 08-01 23:39 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.15 |
| 08-01 17:11 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.12 |
| 08-01 16:54 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $12.40 |
| 08-01 16:53 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 07-31 21:02 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.063424 | $1.59 |
| 07-31 17:31 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:02 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.47 |
| 07-31 15:43 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | SELL | 0.5653934449 | $40.88 |
| 07-30 07:51 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.3399999855 | $15.00 |
| 07-30 07:36 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.3499999965 | $45.00 |
| 07-30 07:32 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30? | SELL | 0.9064075117 | $96.53 |