0xb74b9503d71AB2771CF6D86c84C53141bb10b853-1779492342210
0xb74b9503d71ab2771cf6d86c84c53141bb10b853
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $161.0k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $706.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.075 | $342.64 | −$280.38 |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.315 | $107.57 | +$11.37 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.205 | $96.79 | +$22.96 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.463 | 0.567 | $95.14 | +$17.30 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.275 | $35.75 | +$0.65 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.095 | $28.69 | −$17.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$247.78at 0.402Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$190.15at 0.156US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$160.86at 0.009US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$106.40at 0.563US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$97.89at 0.369Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1788298532 | $17.30 |
| 11-01 21:47 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.56 | $17.91 |
| 11-01 20:57 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $11.52 |
| 10-30 03:13 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.259999999 | $20.46 |
| 10-30 03:13 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.66 | $20.46 |
| 10-29 19:54 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3002040743 | $14.90 |
| 10-29 19:53 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.10 |
| 10-29 19:50 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 19:49 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.40 |
| 10-28 07:34 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.30058633 | $27.70 |
| 10-28 07:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.737 | $27.70 |
| 10-27 19:28 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4514195199 | $23.33 |
| 10-27 19:26 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $23.33 |
| 10-27 07:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4624141321 | $16.32 |
| 10-27 07:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $16.33 |