PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb74b9503d71AB2771CF6D86c84C53141bb10b853-1779492342210

0xb74b9503d71ab2771cf6d86c84c53141bb10b853

Realised P&L
$-881.78
Volume
$110.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$33.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? · Yes0.2060.160$12.90$3.72
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? · Yes0.2400.045$12.52$53.42
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? · Yes0.3100.165$6.60$5.80
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? · Yes0.2000.210$1.94+$0.09
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$2.52
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 · Over0.3600.000$0.00$1.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2680.000$0.00$8.11
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$993.34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No0.0070.000$0.00$3.50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$4.74
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5900.000$0.00$5.90
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde0.3130.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:27Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?BUY0.2$1.84
08-02 14:26Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.12$1.85
08-02 02:24Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.12$4.20
08-01 23:40Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.0713532295$1.15
08-01 23:39Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.12$1.15
08-01 17:11Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?BUY0.2$6.12
08-01 16:54Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?BUY0.31$12.40
08-01 16:53Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?BUY0.21$10.50
07-31 21:02Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.063424$1.59
07-31 17:31Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.1$1.00
07-31 16:02Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.21$1.47
07-31 15:43Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?SELL0.5653934449$40.88
07-30 07:51Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.3399999855$15.00
07-30 07:36Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?BUY0.3499999965$45.00
07-30 07:32Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?SELL0.9064075117$96.53