gilbertdebra
0xb74b01a90188bb226d44bcc6498339e6a17266cd
- Realised P&L
- $-66.64
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $33.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.825 | $33.00 | +$9.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.07at 0.550Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?
- +$15.87at 0.756Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?
- +$3.06at 0.910Will Vitality Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.520Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$0.72at 0.350Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.5059999979 | $30.96 |
| 01-31 13:28 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.02 |
| 01-30 16:53 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.93 |
| 01-30 16:22 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.81 |
| 01-30 14:54 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.75 |
| 01-30 12:56 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.92 |
| 12-30 17:55 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998828 | $1.79 |
| 12-30 17:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999689 | $5.20 |
| 12-30 10:32 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999994 | $17.44 |
| 12-30 02:05 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.32 |
| 12-30 01:57 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.23 |
| 12-29 22:20 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9959999118 | $11.02 |
| 12-29 20:46 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.77 |
| 10-30 21:58 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.95 |
| 10-30 19:55 | Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.19 |