PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb74aa75abA22e8BE6a11Ee87717ccC2ed6F56d02-1779533034516

0xb74aa75aba22e8be6a11ee87717ccc2ed6f56d02

Realised P&L
$-16.87
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$16.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · Yes0.1020.038$9.86$16.14
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$6.88$3.13
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$12.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.0480.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down0.7300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 21:01Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$10.00
07-14 17:06Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.07$14.00
06-23 09:37Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.0599999955$12.29
06-06 14:11Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1$20.00
05-26 14:22Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?BUY0.1015423919$26.00
05-25 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
05-25 10:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL0.91$10.57
05-25 10:13US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?SELL0.8757803468$25.76
05-24 03:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
05-23 22:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00
05-23 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
05-23 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
05-23 22:38US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?BUY0.3899999503$4.00
05-23 21:54US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
05-23 21:44US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.4299999871$5.00