0xb74aa75abA22e8BE6a11Ee87717ccC2ed6F56d02-1779533034516
0xb74aa75aba22e8be6a11ee87717ccc2ed6f56d02
- Realised P&L
- $-16.87
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $16.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.038 | $9.86 | −$16.14 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $6.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.76at 0.170US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
- +$6.26at 0.390US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$5.58at 0.430US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$3.93at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 21:01 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 17:06 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 06-23 09:37 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.0599999955 | $12.29 |
| 06-06 14:11 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 05-26 14:22 | Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | BUY | 0.1015423919 | $26.00 |
| 05-25 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 10:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.57 |
| 05-25 10:13 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | SELL | 0.8757803468 | $25.76 |
| 05-24 03:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 22:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 22:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | BUY | 0.3899999503 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 21:54 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 21:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |