Allez-vous-en
0xb7427fb13d3e77bb657d267f94ff9b7c49794263
- Realised P&L
- $-100.96
- Volume
- $98.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $11.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.93at 0.745Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$18.61at 0.033Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$15.26at 0.747Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$9.21at 0.006Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$4.30at 0.014Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 19:53 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.75 |
| 04-23 09:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 04-22 23:47 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 04-22 23:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.045 | $39.82 |
| 04-19 19:07 | Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.73 |
| 04-19 18:55 | Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.25 |
| 04-19 18:52 | Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 04-19 18:49 | Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.87 |
| 04-19 17:36 | Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.0930389943 | $15.25 |
| 04-17 10:43 | Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.15 |
| 04-17 10:41 | Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.58 |
| 04-16 08:52 | Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.1413388704 | $5.11 |
| 04-13 09:51 | Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.84 |
| 04-13 09:34 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.53 |
| 04-13 09:33 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $2.14 |