PolyBot

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0xb7427fb13d3e77bb657d267f94ff9b7c49794263

Realised P&L
$-100.96
Volume
$98.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$11.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.011$5.75+$1.75
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$2.25$2.25
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$1.54$15.64
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.001$0.87$8.86
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.70$3.48
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0040.001$0.25$1.75
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.09$0.48
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$8.54
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.11
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$11.00
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.50
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$3.60
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$12.20
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.50
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 19:53Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?SELL0.005$0.75
04-23 09:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?SELL0.003$1.50
04-22 23:47Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?BUY0.19$9.50
04-22 23:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.045$39.82
04-19 19:07Will Mary Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?SELL0.002$0.73
04-19 18:55Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.005$1.25
04-19 18:52Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.003$1.50
04-19 18:49Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.002$1.87
04-19 17:36Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.0930389943$15.25
04-17 10:43Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.002$1.15
04-17 10:41Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.002$0.58
04-16 08:52Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.1413388704$5.11
04-13 09:51Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.012$1.84
04-13 09:34Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.017$1.53
04-13 09:33Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.017$2.14