PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xb74204f40e85ef68bd04329f628386fd0cef51de

0xb74204f40e85ef68bd04329f628386fd0cef51de

Realised P&L
$290.74
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$21.24

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1120.125$12.50+$1.30
Will any series go to five maps at VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.5000.425$8.50−$1.50
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31? · Yes0.0040.006$0.24+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 21:47Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on October 31?BUY0.0045550953$0.16
10-02 19:21Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31?BUY0.112$11.20
10-01 12:32Will any series go to five maps at VALORANT Champions 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
09-11 19:23Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?BUY0.3248910506$8.35
08-27 16:53Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?SELL0.9429157509$30.89
08-25 18:56Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $100B?BUY0.9398755234$49.38
08-24 19:42Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 61.0 and 63.9 in August?SELL0.0083531589$0.68
08-24 19:42Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 58.0 and 60.9 in August?SELL0.01$0.14
08-24 19:39Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?SELL0.032$0.96
08-24 19:39Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 55.0 and 57.9 in August?SELL0.032$0.96
08-24 19:33Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 58.0 and 60.9 in August?BUY0.019$1.08
08-03 02:22Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?SELL0.18$25.20
07-31 21:25Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?SELL0.2102540094$42.21
07-31 20:09Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?BUY0.2472972973$9.15
07-31 20:08Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?BUY0.2329854174$81.16