PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb740a8384595677c9d05253c5526d3990743b880

Realised P&L
$-41.51
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$42.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.2400.145$27.19$17.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$15.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 18:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.025$2.95
08-07 18:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.026$0.48
08-07 18:39US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.012$0.21
08-07 18:29Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
08-07 18:29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0279999978$12.00
08-07 18:29US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.014$0.10
08-07 15:38Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.81$53.99
06-26 18:00Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7499999887$50.00
06-26 15:29China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.92$9.20
06-26 15:29Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.85$10.20
06-26 15:29Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$13.05
06-26 15:29China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.91$13.65
06-26 15:29Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.946$14.19
06-26 15:29Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.934$20.55
06-26 15:29Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.885$10.62