0xb740a8384595677c9d05253c5526d3990743b880
- Realised P&L
- $-41.51
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $42.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.145 | $27.19 | −$17.81 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $15.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.840Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
- +$1.25at 0.917NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.868Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$1.08at 0.910Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
- +$1.08at 0.910Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 18:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.95 |
| 08-07 18:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.48 |
| 08-07 18:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.21 |
| 08-07 18:29 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 18:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999978 | $12.00 |
| 08-07 18:29 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.10 |
| 08-07 15:38 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $53.99 |
| 06-26 18:00 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999887 | $50.00 |
| 06-26 15:29 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 06-26 15:29 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $10.20 |
| 06-26 15:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $13.05 |
| 06-26 15:29 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 06-26 15:29 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.946 | $14.19 |
| 06-26 15:29 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.934 | $20.55 |
| 06-26 15:29 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.885 | $10.62 |