0xb734919d3c2006c8b82fa9bd2ea43920aaa45f70
- Realised P&L
- $-186.05
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $189.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.285 | $68.84 | −$32.61 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.560 | $51.53 | +$11.53 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.155 | $23.48 | −$26.52 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $12.51 | −$1.50 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $12.51 | −$2.50 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.032 | $8.07 | −$31.93 |
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.018 | $4.13 | −$7.03 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.045 | $3.75 | −$6.25 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.045 | $2.87 | −$5.41 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.014 | $2.06 | −$6.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.76at 0.199Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.20at 0.240Will Spain win the World Cup?
- +$26.13at 0.165Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.49at 0.302Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$11.54at 0.308Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:19 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999878 | $8.28 |
| 08-23 21:33 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0599999939 | $8.83 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $14.01 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $15.01 |
| 08-04 16:40 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-26 18:12 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.16 |
| 07-26 18:12 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.4199999927 | $22.86 |
| 07-26 18:12 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.4199999983 | $78.59 |
| 07-26 16:29 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 16:29 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4350500638 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 14:05 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 14:01 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1585451125 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 22:05 | Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8465660656 | $98.75 |
| 07-18 15:12 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5999999941 | $20.42 |
| 07-18 15:10 | Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4093615902 | $21.68 |