nikulina
0xb73405704eb72be41fa9ba50522bb557f231502c
- Realised P&L
- $438.24
- Volume
- $31.2k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $12.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $12.25 | −$0.25 |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Suns vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Hawks vs. Timberwolves · Hawks | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.13at 0.750Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5
- +$121.92at 0.240Heat vs. Rockets
- +$121.33at 0.804Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5
- +$121.04at 0.804Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5
- +$94.05at 0.210Lakers vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:08 | Will Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 07-05 07:18 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 06-02 09:49 | Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 05-06 14:25 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.73 | $36.79 |
| 04-04 07:38 | Suns vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.1699999881 | $10.45 |
| 03-02 08:00 | Nuggets vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.1899999894 | $12.00 |
| 02-09 08:42 | Hawks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.32 | $12.00 |
| 01-10 12:42 | Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $618.38 |
| 01-10 12:42 | Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $619.38 |
| 01-10 11:47 | Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $308.80 |
| 01-10 11:22 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.5k |
| 01-10 11:22 | Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $464.25 |
| 01-10 08:10 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.5k |
| 01-10 08:09 | Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $621.33 |
| 01-10 07:08 | Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8039215683 | $500.00 |