PolyBot

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Traders

0xb718d53ef80eb958ae3290a5c7dd37671cb17a2d

0xb718d53ef80eb958ae3290a5c7dd37671cb17a2d

Realised P&L
$-78.29
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$214.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1800.195$16.25+$1.25
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.8800.895$15.26+$0.26
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.8500.855$15.09+$0.09
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5700.570$15.00+$0.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.9880.983$14.92$0.08
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.585$14.87$0.13
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao0.5100.505$14.85$0.15
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · No0.9000.890$14.83$0.17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.925$14.76$0.24
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.9200.875$14.27$0.73
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9250.875$14.18$0.82
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4600.430$14.02$0.98
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? · No0.9200.860$14.02$0.98
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? · No0.9820.987$11.02+$0.05
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · No0.9280.912$10.77$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 15:00Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?BUY0.927999998$10.96
09-21 15:00Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?SELL0.9381195841$10.83
09-21 13:10Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?BUY0.95$10.97
09-21 13:09Trump out as President by September 30?SELL0.995$10.96
09-21 12:14Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?BUY0.9819999991$10.97
09-21 12:11Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.9949999664$10.97
09-21 12:11Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?SELL0.989$14.95
09-21 08:57Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?BUY0.992$15.00
09-21 08:57Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?SELL0.9843306878$14.88
09-20 12:22Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026?BUY0.992$15.00
09-20 12:22Trump out as President by September 30?SELL0.994$15.00
09-20 04:32Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?BUY0.9879999995$15.00
09-20 04:30Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.88$15.00
09-20 03:22Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.994$15.00
09-20 03:22UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL0.999$19.98