0xb718d53ef80eb958ae3290a5c7dd37671cb17a2d
0xb718d53ef80eb958ae3290a5c7dd37671cb17a2d
- Realised P&L
- $-78.29
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $214.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.53at 0.593UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
- +$4.76at 0.760UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$3.78at 0.799UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
- +$3.11at 0.828UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
- +$0.04at 0.924Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 15:00 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.927999998 | $10.96 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | SELL | 0.9381195841 | $10.83 |
| 09-21 13:10 | Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.97 |
| 09-21 13:09 | Trump out as President by September 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $10.96 |
| 09-21 12:14 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999991 | $10.97 |
| 09-21 12:11 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999664 | $10.97 |
| 09-21 12:11 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | SELL | 0.989 | $14.95 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.992 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | SELL | 0.9843306878 | $14.88 |
| 09-20 12:22 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 12:22 | Trump out as President by September 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 04:32 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.9879999995 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 04:30 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.88 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 03:22 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 03:22 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |