0xb714c94ed6d0f35d3fe1a7df1ccd85b8d8f46fb8
0xb714c94ed6d0f35d3fe1a7df1ccd85b8d8f46fb8
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $50.14
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $7.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.480 | 1.000 | $4.08 | +$2.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.490 | $1.88 | −$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.058 | $1.29 | −$0.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 28? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.003 | $0.06 | −$1.24 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.96 |
| 09-28 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.96 |
| 09-27 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.78 |
| 09-27 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.30 |