0xb713f42e8764ecdd3a500cca7dcb1284a413f288
- Realised P&L
- $-548.82
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 327
- Open portfolio
- $24.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded327
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.570 | $24.92 | −$11.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.75at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$103.73at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$83.15at 0.524Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$60.35at 0.536Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$43.09at 0.844Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 06:47 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:38 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:36 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:23 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:17 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:15 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9565826983 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:13 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:11 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:04 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899997551 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 06:00 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7899997551 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 05:58 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6177664392 | $3.00 |
| 04-28 03:42 | Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |
| 03-01 16:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.66 |
| 03-01 16:09 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.938 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 16:09 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | SELL | 0.816 | $0.95 |