TrumperToday
0xb710866c4c775c40195e8e3f4a972d6652b299f7
- Realised P&L
- $-511.32
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $61.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.72at 0.615Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$242.06at 0.269Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$49.43at 0.890Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
- +$29.99at 0.400Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
- +$2.70at 0.730Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 00:39 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5149999959 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 00:35 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 00:33 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.07 |
| 04-06 00:28 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0196078431 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 00:19 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.515 | $51.50 |
| 03-09 21:50 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 11-20 02:40 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.22 | $155.00 |
| 11-20 02:36 | Hornets vs. Nets | SELL | 0.62 | $155.00 |
| 11-20 02:34 | Hornets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.6067380774 | $337.62 |
| 11-12 03:38 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.2982107338 | $100.00 |
| 11-12 03:22 | Nets vs. Pelicans | SELL | 0.2 | $37.33 |
| 11-12 03:20 | Nets vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.2678571399 | $50.00 |
| 11-12 03:14 | Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 11-12 03:14 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $300.00 |
| 11-06 06:19 | Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? | SELL | 0.95 | $778.74 |