sausagetina
0xb70110c40d7acc495def77eebe039e69f1fd1994
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $74.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,304
- Open portfolio
- $12.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,304
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.59at 0.221Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 16?
- +$241.52at 0.746Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 22?
- +$225.08at 0.372Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 24?
- +$207.16at 0.599Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 20?
- +$206.12at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-19 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 09-19 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-18 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-18 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 09-18 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-18 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-17 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |