PolyBot

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Traders

sausagetina

0xb70110c40d7acc495def77eebe039e69f1fd1994

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$74.0k
Markets traded
3,304
Open portfolio
$12.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,304
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 03:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.55$2.75
09-19 03:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.3$1.50
09-19 01:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.11$1.10
09-19 01:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.15$1.05
09-19 00:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.08$1.04
09-19 00:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.43$2.15
09-18 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.37$1.85
09-18 04:20Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 18?BUY0.13$1.04
09-18 01:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.5$2.50
09-18 01:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 18?BUY0.24$1.20
09-18 00:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.47$2.35
09-18 00:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-17 21:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?BUY0.45$2.25
09-17 07:20Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 17?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-17 07:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.09$1.08