0xb6ff5e3C44531a335951997769887031a10Df61E-1779619834778
0xb6ff5e3c44531a335951997769887031a10df61e
- Realised P&L
- $7.82
- Volume
- $153.58
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $5.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.175 | $1.06 | −$0.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.415 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.380 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.185 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.185 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.125 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.05at 0.266Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$0.74at 0.129Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22?
- +$0.74at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 19?
- +$0.70at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18?
- +$0.21at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.86 |
| 09-21 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 16:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0232514881 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1238095097 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.21 |
| 09-19 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.06 |
| 09-19 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.06 |