PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb6ff5e3C44531a335951997769887031a10Df61E-1779619834778

0xb6ff5e3c44531a335951997769887031a10df61e

Realised P&L
$7.82
Volume
$153.58
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$5.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 11:41Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-23 11:40Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-23 11:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 25?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-23 11:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-23 11:39Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 25?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-23 11:35Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 25?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-23 11:32Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.4$1.00
09-21 08:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22?SELL0.23$1.86
09-21 04:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?SELL0.26$1.30
09-20 16:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.2$1.00
09-20 16:32Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.0232514881$1.00
09-20 16:30Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.1238095097$1.00
09-19 03:25Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 19?SELL0.48$0.21
09-19 03:24Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19?SELL0.32$0.06
09-19 03:24Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.94$1.06