NeedForDead
0xb6fc9e6aa8f5f624b742cf86299bd32a5f57b24e
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $630.0k
- Markets traded
- 7,926
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,926
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.580 | 0.995 | $140.60 | +$58.60 |
| ITF Dallas: Dana Guzman vs Julieta Pareja · Julieta Pareja | 0.510 | 0.500 | $125.49 | −$2.51 |
| ITF Castelo Branco: Goncalo Marques vs Joao Domingues · Joao Domingues | 0.510 | 0.500 | $125.49 | −$2.51 |
| Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner · Team Bald | 0.510 | 0.500 | $125.49 | −$2.51 |
| Set 4 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Djokovic · Djokovic | 0.550 | 0.500 | $125.45 | −$12.55 |
| Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs Fonseca · Fonseca | 0.550 | 0.500 | $125.45 | −$12.55 |
| Set 4 Winner: Ruiz vs Svajda · Svajda | 0.550 | 0.500 | $125.45 | −$12.55 |
| Sinner vs. Borges: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.570 | 0.500 | $125.44 | −$17.56 |
| Set 4 Winner: Royer vs Zverev · Zverev | 0.580 | 0.500 | $125.00 | −$20.00 |
| Set 4 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsan · Marozsan | 0.580 | 0.500 | $125.00 | −$20.00 |
| Royer vs. Zverev: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.500 | $125.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.450 | 0.995 | $68.51 | +$37.51 |
| Michelsen vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.500 | $35.29 | −$0.71 |
| Michelsen vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.500 | $35.29 | −$0.71 |
| ITF Huamantla: Niels Peter Van Noord vs Andres Urrea · Andres Urrea | 0.530 | 0.500 | $33.96 | −$2.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$492.24at 0.339ITF Luan: Xinyi Nong vs JiaYi Wang
- +$450.00at 0.100ITF Brisbane: Omar Jasika vs Scott Jones
- +$444.03at 0.477Counter-Strike: GenOne vs los kogutos (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
- +$420.00at 0.440Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
- +$356.85at 0.475Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:45 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5 | BUY | 0.3499999421 | $2.42 |
| 08-03 00:53 | Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5) | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 22:38 | Spread: Detroit Tigers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 08-02 21:49 | National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlek | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 21:28 | National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlek | BUY | 0.5799999955 | $41.00 |
| 08-02 21:10 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $28.00 |
| 08-02 21:01 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 08-02 20:33 | Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $31.00 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $31.00 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $31.00 |
| 08-02 20:10 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999955 | $41.00 |
| 08-02 19:59 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1199999879 | $8.32 |
| 08-02 19:53 | Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 19:49 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999955 | $41.00 |
| 08-02 19:42 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999437 | $2.04 |