PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NeedForDead

0xb6fc9e6aa8f5f624b742cf86299bd32a5f57b24e

Realised P&L
$7.3k
Volume
$630.0k
Markets traded
7,926
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded7,926
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies0.5800.995$140.60+$58.60
ITF Dallas: Dana Guzman vs Julieta Pareja · Julieta Pareja0.5100.500$125.49$2.51
ITF Castelo Branco: Goncalo Marques vs Joao Domingues · Joao Domingues0.5100.500$125.49$2.51
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald - Game 1 Winner · Team Bald0.5100.500$125.49$2.51
Set 4 Winner: Tsitsipas vs Djokovic · Djokovic0.5500.500$125.45$12.55
Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs Fonseca · Fonseca0.5500.500$125.45$12.55
Set 4 Winner: Ruiz vs Svajda · Svajda0.5500.500$125.45$12.55
Sinner vs. Borges: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5 · Under0.5700.500$125.44$17.56
Set 4 Winner: Royer vs Zverev · Zverev0.5800.500$125.00$20.00
Set 4 Winner: Tirante vs Marozsan · Marozsan0.5800.500$125.00$20.00
Royer vs. Zverev: Set 4 Games O/U 10.5 · Under0.5800.500$125.00$20.00
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) · Philadelphia Phillies0.4500.995$68.51+$37.51
Michelsen vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5 · Under0.5100.500$35.29$0.71
Michelsen vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5 · Under0.5100.500$35.29$0.71
ITF Huamantla: Niels Peter Van Noord vs Andres Urrea · Andres Urrea0.5300.500$33.96$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:45Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 167.5BUY0.3499999421$2.42
08-03 00:53Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-13.5)BUY0.4299999971$30.00
08-02 22:38Spread: Detroit Tigers (-7.5)BUY0.16$16.00
08-02 21:49National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara BejlekBUY0.1799999928$20.00
08-02 21:28National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara BejlekBUY0.5799999955$41.00
08-02 21:10Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5BUY0.4$28.00
08-02 21:01Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 186.5BUY0.44$2.64
08-02 20:33Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)BUY0.4499999978$31.00
08-02 20:30Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)BUY0.4499999978$31.00
08-02 20:17Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)BUY0.4499999978$31.00
08-02 20:10Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)BUY0.5799999955$41.00
08-02 19:59Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)BUY0.1199999879$8.32
08-02 19:53Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)BUY0.2299999931$20.00
08-02 19:49Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)BUY0.5799999955$41.00
08-02 19:42Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)BUY0.4099999437$2.04