phantomironuy
0xb6ed3ff0e0fd489aff23bb76cb21fa8fd155f3d3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.62
- Volume
- $58.43
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $4.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? · No | 0.580 | 0.515 | $2.04 | −$0.26 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.390 | $1.63 | −$0.67 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.140 | $0.58 | −$1.32 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.486 | 0.052 | $0.16 | −$1.34 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.15 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.443Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$2.50at 0.500Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
- +$2.19at 0.473Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$1.73at 0.417Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.18at 0.607Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:50 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999163 | $2.30 |
| 08-19 03:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.4559999424 | $1.90 |
| 08-08 07:36 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5799999294 | $2.30 |
| 08-05 06:34 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.4599999564 | $1.90 |
| 07-21 02:30 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-17 03:27 | Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4049999308 | $1.20 |
| 06-30 04:56 | Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.80 |
| 06-10 03:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | BUY | 0.426 | $2.13 |
| 06-02 06:00 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 05:00 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-18 07:18 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.485999952 | $1.50 |
| 05-11 04:22 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 04-16 04:34 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 03-23 07:09 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.299 | $1.49 |