0xb6e6957098421624231d4bc4cae92ee12a22b2c5
0xb6e6957098421624231d4bc4cae92ee12a22b2c5
- Realised P&L
- $0.99
- Volume
- $208.46
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.250 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.105 | $0.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.31at 0.268Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.340US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.36at 0.400Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.08at 0.430Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:53 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:49 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:50 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:59 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:45 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:03 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:21 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |