pm2748336
0xb6dc60cb8d33b82c6a005b269240e1ab88f2ab58
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $106.3k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $151.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) · Notre Dame | 0.500 | 0.505 | $24.40 | +$0.24 |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.600 | 0.605 | $17.90 | +$0.15 |
| Will Jorja Johnson reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No | 0.620 | 0.790 | $16.10 | +$3.46 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-3.5) · Ohio State | 0.480 | 0.445 | $15.78 | −$1.24 |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.505 | $12.15 | +$0.36 |
| Spread: Alabama (-7.5) · Tennessee | 0.490 | 0.495 | $11.84 | +$0.12 |
| Will Jorja Johnson reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.500 | $10.37 | +$4.56 |
| Spread: Purdue (-3.5) · Purdue | 0.480 | 0.465 | $9.95 | −$0.32 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.91 | −$0.10 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.480 | $9.40 | −$0.20 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.450 | 0.445 | $8.09 | −$0.09 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.041 | $5.84 | −$13.33 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Chicago Cubs | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.21 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.10 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.538 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.378Canadiens vs. Senators
- +$971.10at 0.661First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Colombia
- +$948.14at 0.492Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
- +$722.22at 0.502Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5
- +$621.27at 0.610UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:43 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.45 | $8.19 |
| 10-16 16:18 | Spread: Purdue (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $10.27 |
| 10-16 16:07 | Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $17.75 |
| 10-16 03:55 | 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $9.59 |
| 10-16 03:53 | Celtics vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.5 | $10.01 |
| 10-16 03:44 | Spread: Ohio State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $5.62 |
| 10-16 03:22 | Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $12.03 |
| 10-16 03:16 | Spread: Ohio State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $11.41 |
| 10-15 14:49 | Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova | BUY | 0.52 | $2.66 |
| 10-15 14:28 | Spread: Notre Dame (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $12.13 |
| 10-15 14:25 | Spread: Alabama (-7.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $6.93 |
| 10-15 14:23 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $11.92 |
| 10-14 15:12 | Ohio State vs. Indiana: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $11.79 |
| 10-14 14:58 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $11.05 |
| 10-14 14:57 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $11.05 |