0xB6DA9dF13FFBffBA3ec100A0819cCa6E8D0a857C-1776187995206
0xb6da9df13ffbffba3ec100a0819cca6e8d0a857c
- Realised P&L
- $74.64
- Volume
- $969.15
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $230.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.555 | $230.60 | −$47.78 |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.43at 0.407Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
- +$38.89at 0.720Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$16.32at 0.647Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 23:36 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6699999997 | $278.38 |
| 04-22 17:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999954 | $100.00 |
| 04-15 20:59 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.31 |
| 04-14 21:34 | Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $9.51 |
| 04-14 21:25 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $29.35 |
| 04-14 21:25 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $19.05 |
| 04-14 20:55 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | SELL | 0.99 | $83.47 |
| 04-14 19:04 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.4 | $33.33 |