hopkinshelen
0xb6d3a61348b2b1d280eaf87aa855a24d3d71d72c
- Realised P&L
- $-74.32
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $46.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.810 | $46.32 | +$8.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.54at 0.250Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$19.16at 0.280Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$6.63at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15?
- +$1.57at 0.909Will XRP reach $1.80 September 21-27?
- +$0.44at 0.560Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5573807213 | $10.64 |
| 01-31 13:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.9989998493 | $5.21 |
| 01-31 13:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $12.88 |
| 01-30 15:13 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.77 |
| 01-30 14:59 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.28 |
| 01-30 14:07 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.01 |
| 12-29 22:53 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.45 |
| 12-29 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $18.59 |
| 12-29 22:18 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9909999757 | $31.14 |
| 12-29 21:22 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.37 |
| 10-30 23:04 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.10 |
| 10-30 18:30 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $23.47 |
| 10-07 18:30 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.821 | $11.41 |
| 09-29 16:49 | Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.38 |
| 09-29 15:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.11 |