shibagege
0xb6c83e346ab31df6e24bc53ecb6e15c03b75b9e6
- Realised P&L
- $110.1k
- Volume
- $7.07M
- Markets traded
- 393
- Open portfolio
- $232.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded393
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.0kat 0.950Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$16.1kat 0.947Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$10.8kat 0.959Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$8.7kat 0.972Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$8.3kat 0.968Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 16:00 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $600.00 |
| 09-18 09:49 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-18 07:17 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-18 07:17 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $500.00 |
| 09-12 08:30 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-28 12:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $99.52 |
| 07-27 16:45 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.8k |
| 07-25 09:02 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.925 | $1.6k |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9025 | $312.26 |
| 07-19 21:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7225 | $1.4k |
| 07-19 20:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.0625 | $26.88 |
| 07-19 20:03 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | SELL | 0.01 | $31.58 |
| 07-19 19:24 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.6325 | $910.07 |
| 07-19 19:11 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.06 | $42.87 |