PolyBot

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Traders

shibagege

0xb6c83e346ab31df6e24bc53ecb6e15c03b75b9e6

Realised P&L
$110.1k
Volume
$7.07M
Markets traded
393
Open portfolio
$232.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded393
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.935$112.6k+$4.2k
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9680.997$69.3k+$2.0k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.955$49.7k+$4.4k
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.5800.575$594.83$5.17
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$70.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.2700.000$0.00$200.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00$300.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$100.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.4100.000$0.00$200.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$400.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$300.00
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.5000.000$0.00$300.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$100.00
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 16:00LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.5799999998$600.00
09-18 09:49LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.3699999997$200.00
09-18 07:17LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.5999999998$500.00
09-18 07:17LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.5999999998$500.00
09-12 08:30LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.5199999998$500.00
07-28 12:20Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.973$99.52
07-27 16:45Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.97$1.8k
07-25 09:02LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaBUY0.52$104.00
07-19 21:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.925$1.6k
07-19 21:47Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9025$312.26
07-19 21:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7225$1.4k
07-19 20:04Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5SELL0.0625$26.88
07-19 20:03Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?SELL0.01$31.58
07-19 19:24Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5SELL0.6325$910.07
07-19 19:11Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.06$42.87