Elena-2026
0xb6c165bef6523f36dd35299e8c026a3b81eca400
- Realised P&L
- $685.43
- Volume
- $54.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,698
- Open portfolio
- $845.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,698
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.52at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?
- +$11.36at 0.270Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?
- +$10.72at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 1?
- +$10.24at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 1?
- +$10.24at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-03 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-03 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-03 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.38157 | $3.82 |
| 08-03 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 08-03 09:24 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-03 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.325 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.195 | $1.95 |
| 08-03 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 09:15 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 08-03 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 08-03 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-03 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |