Elena-2026
0xb6c165bef6523f36dd35299e8c026a3b81eca400
- Realised P&L
- $891.91
- Volume
- $71.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,921
- Open portfolio
- $123.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,921
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.11at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?
- +$11.47at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3?
- +$11.37at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?
- +$11.21at 0.280Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?
- +$10.65at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1615833333 | $0.97 |
| 09-18 01:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 09-18 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 09-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 09-18 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3316666667 | $1.99 |
| 09-18 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.46 |
| 09-18 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |
| 09-18 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 09-18 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.25555 | $1.53 |
| 09-18 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 09-18 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 09-18 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 09-18 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3416527546 | $2.05 |