PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Elena-2026

0xb6c165bef6523f36dd35299e8c026a3b81eca400

Realised P&L
$891.91
Volume
$71.9k
Markets traded
5,921
Open portfolio
$123.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded5,921
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.5201.000$6.00+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17? · Yes0.1801.000$6.00+$4.92
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.2900.895$5.37+$3.63
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.3320.735$4.41+$2.42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.4800.600$3.60+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.4300.590$3.54+$0.96
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes0.4100.585$3.51+$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 18? · Yes0.3200.505$3.03+$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.6300.495$2.97$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.5000.485$2.91$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.4900.480$2.88$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.3900.465$2.79+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.5400.455$2.73$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.3400.455$2.73+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 18? · Yes0.4700.450$2.70$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:41Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.1615833333$0.97
09-18 01:39Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.33$1.98
09-18 01:37Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.27$1.62
09-18 01:36Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.25$1.50
09-18 01:33Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.44$2.64
09-18 01:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.3316666667$1.99
09-18 01:17Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.41$2.46
09-18 01:16Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.35$2.10
09-18 01:15Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.29$1.74
09-18 01:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.25555$1.53
09-18 01:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.04$0.24
09-18 01:08Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.45$2.70
09-18 01:07Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.5$3.00
09-18 01:06Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.49$2.94
09-18 01:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.3416527546$2.05