DickTurbin
0xb6bed94e75c333dae24eb9c80b3fef47ef3cfcfe
- Realised P&L
- $336.1k
- Volume
- $55.57M
- Markets traded
- 4,737
- Open portfolio
- $76.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,737
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.7kat 0.720Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$94.1kat 0.222Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$90.2kat 0.087Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$60.7kat 0.030Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$53.1kat 0.022Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 15:17 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $40.00 |
| 08-24 15:16 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $40.00 |
| 08-24 15:16 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $80.00 |
| 08-24 15:16 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0300782129 | $853.98 |
| 08-24 15:15 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0252789029 | $299.03 |
| 08-24 15:14 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.037 | $562.16 |
| 07-27 21:42 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.146 | $36.84 |
| 07-27 21:42 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.088 | $43.24 |
| 07-27 21:35 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.029 | $19.14 |
| 07-27 21:35 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.029 | $6.44 |
| 07-27 21:35 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.0296595745 | $13.94 |
| 07-27 21:35 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.0293682536 | $138.72 |
| 07-23 15:11 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.07 | $20.77 |
| 07-13 01:47 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.036778612 | $382.29 |
| 07-04 20:09 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023 | $170.59 |