0xb6BA2C2378D1f77b7e0d9D1BfeF88B63276c0717-1784488808581
0xb6ba2c2378d1f77b7e0d9d1bfef88b63276c0717
- Realised P&L
- $-9.38
- Volume
- $332.42
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $53.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.875 | $43.75 | +$3.75 |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.085 | $4.72 | −$5.28 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6? · No | 0.134 | 0.475 | $3.53 | +$2.53 |
| Netanyahu drops out before election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.026 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.719 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.95at 0.840Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:17 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6? | BUY | 0.1344344049 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:15 | Netanyahu drops out before election? | BUY | 0.0213949508 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:50 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 10:55 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 22:49 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7188019814 | $30.00 |
| 09-27 22:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $110.00 |