youbao
0xb6b94d715c8a722e842af477aa9ab5da4b76b487
- Realised P&L
- $-16.3k
- Volume
- $386.4k
- Markets traded
- 477
- Open portfolio
- $465.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded477
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.735 | $396.89 | +$143.10 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $41.50 | −$0.50 |
| Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.445 | $26.70 | +$0.30 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) · Nuggets | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) · Hornets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$387.32 |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) · BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.8k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.99 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-30? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) · Jazz | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spread: Hornets (-2.5) · Wizards | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) · Heat | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$423.36 |
| Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.6kat 0.451Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
- +$4.1kat 0.580Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?
- +$4.1kat 0.430Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$4.1kat 0.460Spread: Spain (-1.5)
- +$4.1kat 0.460Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:56 | Spread: Hawks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $14.79 |
| 10-31 15:40 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 10-30 13:56 | Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 10-30 13:48 | Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-30 13:48 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 10-30 11:11 | Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.47 | $32.90 |
| 10-30 11:10 | Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $33.60 |
| 10-30 03:53 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | SELL | 0.06 | $0.84 |
| 10-30 01:35 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $6.72 |
| 10-29 02:37 | Spread: Clippers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $571.20 |
| 10-29 00:43 | Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5593961214 | $663.44 |
| 10-28 20:33 | Spread: Pistons (-6.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $387.32 |
| 10-28 20:22 | Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $931.20 |
| 10-28 14:33 | Spread: Hawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $3.92 |
| 10-28 08:58 | Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $539.00 |