0xb6b80F3C49E1C019D59f10AB3866656191e68Dbb-1780540513967
0xb6b80f3c49e1c019d59f10ab3866656191e68dbb
- Realised P&L
- $-112.29
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $35.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kash Patel out by December 31? · No | 0.470 | 0.770 | $16.38 | +$6.38 |
| Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.090 | 0.085 | $9.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? · No | 0.080 | 0.075 | $9.38 | −$0.63 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? · No | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.33at 0.245Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
- +$0.00at 0.999Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$-105.76at 0.196Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:39 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 00:39 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 23:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $157.89 |
| 06-07 18:45 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | BUY | 0.0589999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 14:16 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | BUY | 0.3261642958 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 22:36 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | BUY | 0.4267161307 | $20.00 |
| 06-04 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? | SELL | 0.457 | $19.61 |
| 06-04 04:11 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 03:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.2329999872 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 02:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1899999995 | $250.00 |