zyhly5
0xb6b0a0e04d930e153820cd6f3a8932dd4fca4696
- Realised P&L
- $-4.12
- Volume
- $53.40
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.765 | $2.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? · No | 0.937 | 0.890 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.205 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.308S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$0.50at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5?
- +$0.07at 0.932S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?
- +$0.07at 0.968S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?
- +$0.00at 0.994S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:33 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 14:31 | Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | BUY | 0.9369999869 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.32 |
| 10-02 13:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 09:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 02:21 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 22:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 14:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.07 |
| 10-01 13:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 13:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.71 |
| 10-01 13:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |