wxwizzard
0xb6aff8bbb6b4032f3d2823523d28b71b4daf4219
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $274.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,567
- Open portfolio
- $144.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,567
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.27at 0.530Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$297.54at 0.095Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?
- +$221.53at 0.226Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?
- +$190.60at 0.343Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?
- +$167.44at 0.636Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.3926254574 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8527277687 | $15.63 |
| 09-23 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0034142511 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1495327103 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.9983100387 | $247.42 |
| 09-22 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.7839894101 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.1749999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.383800414 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.4345207957 | $9.61 |
| 09-22 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0871095315 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.2310553882 | $17.65 |
| 09-22 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.2510343319 | $11.48 |