wxwizzard
0xb6aff8bbb6b4032f3d2823523d28b71b4daf4219
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $198.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,134
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,134
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.27at 0.530Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$298.88at 0.091Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 8?
- +$223.73at 0.219Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 28?
- +$193.73at 0.333Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?
- +$169.15at 0.493Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.52 |
| 08-08 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.8717660177 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.8255968164 | $30.00 |
| 08-08 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.6959034435 | $15.00 |
| 08-08 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.6960784191 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5726480336 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $64.95 |
| 08-08 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $21.76 |
| 08-08 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.8188198567 | $18.00 |
| 08-08 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.0997233873 | $9.99 |
| 08-08 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5654761827 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.1033834223 | $2.50 |
| 08-08 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.9 | $19.50 |
| 08-08 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.0655780707 | $2.50 |