Salute.
0xb6aa795037d57e4e97bb3bbb1f20908fa1159fc0
- Realised P&L
- $-152.10
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.955 | $3.8k | +$342.17 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.720 | $864.00 | +$456.00 |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.640 | 0.775 | $775.00 | +$135.00 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.380 | 0.034 | $56.48 | −$583.43 |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.366 | 0.790 | $43.57 | +$23.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.00at 0.450Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$62.29at 0.240Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$18.38at 0.319Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$0.80at 0.060Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$-201.29at 0.330Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 17:17 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $195.29 |
| 07-16 17:17 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3666797166 | $19.67 |
| 03-02 13:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.60 |
| 03-02 13:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $249.16 |
| 02-19 00:00 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3188632058 | $168.30 |
| 02-18 23:56 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3974743596 | $232.92 |
| 02-18 23:53 | Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4785983065 | $277.52 |