matthew12366
0xb6a82373cdfe94c91bcfd4dbccd2a35bc9344d04
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $105.1k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska vs. Oregon · Nebraska | 0.632 | 0.555 | $2.0k | −$276.29 |
| Utah vs. Colorado · Utah | 0.711 | 1.000 | $1.4k | +$404.11 |
| Spread: Utah (-3.5) · Colorado | 0.635 | 1.000 | $1.1k | +$401.02 |
| Bills vs. Rams: O/U 60.5 · Under | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.00 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) · Lions | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$282.60 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$280.00 |
| Patriots vs. Jaguars · Patriots | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$452.80 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) · Ohio State | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.52 |
| UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Rodolfo Bellato | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$234.00 |
| UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Alexandre Pantoja | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$391.74 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.00 |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa · Tulsa | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$343.52 |
| Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.401 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$601.31 |
| Auburn vs. Georgia · Georgia | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$992.00 |
| UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Rinya Nakamura | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.350Raiders vs. Saints
- +$1.9kat 0.475UMass vs. Buffalo
- +$1.2kat 0.306Ohio vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
- +$1.2kat 0.630Kentucky vs. Oklahoma
- +$1.2kat 0.103Bills vs. Rams
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 06:17 | Nebraska vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.64 | $1.2k |
| 10-18 06:16 | Nebraska vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.64 | $256.00 |
| 10-18 06:15 | Nebraska vs. Oregon | BUY | 0.62 | $851.73 |
| 10-18 05:35 | Spread: Utah (-3.5) | BUY | 0.6337403704 | $563.52 |
| 10-18 05:11 | Utah vs. Colorado | BUY | 0.71085 | $995.19 |
| 10-18 04:56 | New Mexico vs. Hawai'i | BUY | 0.38 | $266.00 |
| 10-18 04:28 | Ohio vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.3 | $120.00 |
| 10-18 04:27 | Ohio vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.3 | $360.00 |
| 10-18 04:26 | Ohio vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 10-18 02:54 | Spread: Houston (-3.5) | BUY | 0.2377777778 | $53.50 |
| 10-18 02:28 | Kentucky vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 10-18 02:26 | Kentucky vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.6231114 | $1.9k |
| 10-18 00:44 | Portland State vs. Northern Arizona | BUY | 0.61 | $23.20 |
| 10-18 00:43 | Portland State vs. Northern Arizona | BUY | 0.61899275 | $247.60 |
| 10-18 00:37 | Portland State vs. Northern Arizona | BUY | 0.6080645161 | $75.40 |