0xb6A78AE29Ee4b2995FAe4e8445dd638b9Bc6f411-1761759322861
0xb6a78ae29ee4b2995fae4e8445dd638b9bc6f411
- Realised P&L
- $-176.15
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $2.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.97at 0.103Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
- +$7.91at 0.461Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$7.03at 0.225Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?
- +$6.80at 0.193Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$6.43at 0.385Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:34 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:15 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.46 |
| 10-02 15:32 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.89 |
| 09-16 10:12 | Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999389 | $1.97 |
| 09-16 10:11 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.85 |
| 09-16 10:06 | Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:14 | Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:49 | Will Sydney FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:49 | Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) | SELL | 0.57 | $0.98 |
| 09-09 09:48 | FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.49 | $0.98 |
| 09-09 09:47 | Will Sydney FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.1927710843 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:19 | Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:18 | FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 12:19 | Will Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.42 |
| 09-08 12:19 | Will Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.42 |