vicbet
0xb69e72c872cf0de996f16df2aded32812dc38539
- Realised P&L
- $-0.01
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $27.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $14.49 | −$0.81 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.021 | $12.83 | −$1.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.56at 0.155Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$0.17at 0.988France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.830Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-0.05at 0.900Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-0.16at 0.009Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 18:06 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.023 | $14.40 |
| 10-30 18:05 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.161 | $14.41 |
| 10-30 09:31 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0026401649 | $15.30 |
| 10-30 09:30 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.07 |
| 10-30 09:30 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.39 |
| 10-30 09:29 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0085193952 | $2.84 |
| 10-29 09:53 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299999929 | $6.99 |
| 10-29 09:53 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 09:52 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1549999999 | $13.87 |
| 10-29 09:51 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $23.86 |
| 10-28 13:42 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299998847 | $1.08 |
| 10-28 13:41 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.155 | $1.03 |
| 10-27 16:55 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999692 | $23.70 |
| 10-27 15:24 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8999998784 | $4.44 |
| 10-27 15:21 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1509999899 | $1.00 |