0xb69b56ffb3939e5106562f4f31fadab330de368e
0xb69b56ffb3939e5106562f4f31fadab330de368e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $45.4k
- Markets traded
- 727
- Open portfolio
- $18.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded727
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.575 | $17.97 | +$12.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 24? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.006 | $0.30 | −$4.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 24? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.006 | $0.23 | −$4.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.51at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
- +$187.34at 0.690Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 1?
- +$159.96at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 1?
- +$134.56at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on May 1?
- +$126.78at 0.613Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 24? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 24? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.94 |
| 09-20 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.98 |
| 09-20 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.94 |
| 09-19 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.78 | $5.85 |
| 09-19 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23? | BUY | 0.78 | $14.43 |
| 05-21 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 05-21 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21? | BUY | 0.78 | $14.43 |
| 05-21 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.78 | $14.82 |
| 05-21 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.78 | $21.84 |
| 05-21 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.01 |
| 05-21 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 22? | BUY | 0.85 | $15.30 |