Danielldfvbd
0xb691ce7537f72a7ef4d31ab969603e8791deb0ba
- Realised P&L
- $65.42
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $16.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) · Eagles | 0.470 | 0.465 | $16.27 | −$0.17 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B · magic | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.37 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.91 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 · KT Rolster Challengers | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.88 |
| Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs · JD Gaming | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$423.30at 0.500Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in March?
- +$418.27at 0.500Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$406.72at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$133.40at 0.627Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-18?
- +$89.44at 0.999Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:01 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $16.45 |
| 09-07 08:14 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $256.74 |
| 09-07 08:14 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | BUY | 0.29 | $15.37 |
| 09-07 08:12 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.00 |
| 09-07 08:12 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.00 |
| 08-21 05:54 | Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $22.44 |
| 07-30 07:40 | UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.33 | $20.46 |
| 07-15 06:24 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3975 | $24.64 |
| 07-02 03:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2? | BUY | 0.72 | $26.64 |
| 06-16 03:26 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.39 | $26.91 |
| 06-01 10:53 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 06-01 10:53 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 10:53 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? | SELL | 0.998 | $109.78 |
| 06-01 10:53 | Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 05-26 08:37 | Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.46 | $28.72 |