Katpolarush
0xb68bfd44beced309a75ebed5f20e68665da5f271
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $243.3k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $6.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$907.03at 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
- +$686.68at 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$350.93at 0.011Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$223.67at 0.032Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:14 | Will the Charlotte Hornets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.14 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will the Milwaukee Bucks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.30 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 08:11 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 08:10 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.80 |
| 08-24 18:06 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.51 |
| 08-24 09:41 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 08-24 09:41 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 08-24 09:41 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |