hgbdrftkvbj29
0xb6876f8d85091e5cf2f82c35fab70690de107f9d
- Realised P&L
- $-100.06
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $294.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.962 | $155.92 | +$47.40 |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.990 | $138.60 | +$37.80 |
| Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Lynn Vision (BO3) · Lynn Vision | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.12at 0.359Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$77.48at 0.669Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$54.16at 0.280Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-34.21at 0.390Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-73.90at 0.368Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:04 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.003123178 | $0.63 |
| 09-21 05:45 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9715733285 | $53.33 |
| 09-21 05:43 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.9836620648 | $242.96 |
| 09-20 18:44 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.629999999 | $68.93 |
| 09-20 18:09 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.1231201248 | $15.78 |
| 09-20 17:33 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3899999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 17:32 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.5847407706 | $28.99 |
| 09-20 17:30 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.5827131783 | $75.17 |
| 09-20 15:19 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3035158064 | $31.09 |
| 09-20 15:19 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.957 | $32.19 |
| 09-20 15:15 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $8.52 |
| 09-20 15:14 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4160016006 | $41.58 |
| 09-20 15:13 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9423685957 | $51.13 |
| 09-19 22:30 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.6899999961 | $51.00 |
| 09-19 22:29 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |