noho-
0xb67b3761aa2e4ed8448231ab686a2c5b99dce253
- Realised P&L
- $-20.67
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $16.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.58at 0.324US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$14.39at 0.410Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$13.18at 0.137Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?
- +$4.57at 0.290Brown and MIT shooters confirmed to be same person?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 02:57 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.67 |
| 08-12 02:06 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.3529999095 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 04:24 | Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? | BUY | 0.0836820084 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 05:56 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.1579999441 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 01:10 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-22 04:02 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4569999467 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 03:18 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4729999702 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 22:54 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 22:54 | Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 22:53 | Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 09:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.130999948 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 09:47 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.39799993 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 05:29 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4009998937 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 03:06 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4811133175 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 03:04 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.051000003 | $1.00 |