0xb67a699d3122e3fffb74c42a93ec1035a7d8617a
0xb67a699d3122e3fffb74c42a93ec1035a7d8617a
- Realised P&L
- $3.98
- Volume
- $372.19
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $4.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · No | 0.650 | 0.870 | $2.93 | +$0.74 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 5? · No | 0.790 | 0.855 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.17at 0.217Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$7.33at 0.230US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$6.23at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$5.92at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$5.05at 0.308S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 05:37 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 5? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 02:49 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:47 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:32 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:10 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 25? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:09 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:35 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:27 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.6499999555 | $2.19 |