dfv3
0xb679869afdf8760a1b6a37260baac1daaa9cbb10
- Realised P&L
- $-523.96
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $402.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? · No | 0.800 | 0.977 | $107.47 | +$19.47 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.984 | 0.998 | $104.74 | +$1.42 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? · No | 0.820 | 0.925 | $87.88 | +$9.97 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? · No | 0.950 | 0.997 | $44.84 | +$2.09 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.907 | 0.955 | $28.64 | +$1.41 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? · No | 0.950 | 0.997 | $4.98 | +$0.23 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? · No | 0.910 | 0.991 | $4.96 | +$0.41 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? · No | 0.932 | 0.991 | $4.96 | +$0.29 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? · No | 0.870 | 0.990 | $4.95 | +$0.60 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? · No | 0.720 | 0.968 | $4.84 | +$1.24 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · No | 0.880 | 0.945 | $4.72 | +$0.33 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on August 19? · No | 0.953 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.93at 0.740Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$8.89at 0.873Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 8?
- +$8.48at 0.955Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
- +$7.87at 0.973Will Ethereum reach $2,100 August 10-16?
- +$7.62at 0.830Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 8? | SELL | 0.51 | $53.55 |
| 10-08 15:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 8? | SELL | 0.4672933333 | $14.02 |
| 09-19 20:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.956 | $52.58 |
| 09-19 19:02 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4073528889 | $68.74 |
| 09-19 19:01 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $19.69 |
| 09-17 21:42 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-17 19:38 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $4.76 |
| 09-16 12:38 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | SELL | 0.962 | $4.81 |
| 09-16 01:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-11 14:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 09-11 14:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-11 13:50 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-05 17:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-05 16:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.963 | $9.09 |