0xB676deA23d6d2aBF8d172Dd641227a8eD61E7Fb8-1775849821906
0xb676dea23d6d2abf8d172dd641227a8ed61e7fb8
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $639.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,473
- Open portfolio
- $239.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,473
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? · Up | 0.510 | 0.460 | $180.39 | −$19.61 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.375 | $58.82 | −$21.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET · Up | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1AM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9AM ET · Down | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3AM ET · Up | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$664.71at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$615.39at 0.361Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET
- +$473.57at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?
- +$409.90at 0.429Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?
- +$390.63at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999971 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 15:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SELL | 0.990159738 | $991.78 |
| 10-06 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.8647126609 | $519.27 |
| 10-06 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5260585053 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5351992596 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5336878052 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.5366952964 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $80.00 |
| 10-06 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $80.00 |
| 10-05 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.48030682 | $80.00 |
| 10-05 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $190.42 |
| 10-05 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.7274038462 | $378.25 |
| 10-05 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.4734194675 | $80.00 |