0xe93E
0xb671a330fd5e35da39126f248493e4dd5fe032d1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $83.9k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $228.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.300 | $153.00 | −$96.90 |
| MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? · Judge | 0.730 | 0.008 | $75.91 | −$6.9k |
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$612.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.017Will Trey Hendrickson play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?
- +$0.03at 0.015Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.920Will Drake feature Kendrick Lamar on ICEMAN?
- +$0.00at 0.760Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.050Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 20:16 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.86 |
| 06-03 20:12 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $16.26 |
| 06-03 20:10 | Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.03 |
| 06-03 14:03 | Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? | SELL | 0.36 | $11.25 |
| 06-03 07:30 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.88 |
| 06-03 07:30 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.81 |
| 06-03 07:20 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.88 |
| 06-02 22:17 | Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? | SELL | 0.36 | $172.84 |
| 06-01 00:44 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.763 | $15.26 |
| 05-31 19:20 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 05-31 19:19 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 05-31 17:40 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 05-31 04:07 | Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7071817612 | $146.72 |
| 05-30 13:21 | City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 05-27 11:25 | Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $24.54 |