PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb66ba8af7c3e0de16f257d6d39f0cdd52fb2f3b1

Realised P&L
$-7.14
Volume
$616.00
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$72.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.6130.895$13.43+$4.22
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9100.966$11.59+$0.67
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8000.958$10.53+$1.73
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8750.872$8.72$0.04
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.935$8.41+$0.94
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9420.971$5.83+$0.17
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7600.915$5.49+$0.93
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1400.065$2.47$2.86
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.053$1.39$0.69
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.3900.105$1.26$3.42
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.034$0.99$1.62
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1900.095$0.67$0.67
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$0.65$0.65
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4750.087$0.44$1.94
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0740.029$0.41$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 17:25Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.861$4.30
07-15 11:17Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.08$1.20
07-04 13:41Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.843$4.21
06-25 17:01Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
06-21 00:30Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.475$2.38
06-14 17:40Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.47$2.82
06-09 15:00Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.68$4.76
06-09 03:44Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$3.85
06-01 16:35Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.908$4.54
06-01 16:35Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.942$5.65
06-01 16:34Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.85$4.25
05-28 04:00Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.17$1.70
05-24 20:17Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$10.92
05-24 20:17Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$2.61
04-26 21:37Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.19$2.09