0xb66ba8af7c3e0de16f257d6d39f0cdd52fb2f3b1
- Realised P&L
- $-7.14
- Volume
- $616.00
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $72.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.56at 0.470Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.85at 0.179Discord IPO before 2027?
- +$0.16at 0.915Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
- +$0.06at 0.873Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$0.05at 0.051Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 17:25 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.861 | $4.30 |
| 07-15 11:17 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.20 |
| 07-04 13:41 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.843 | $4.21 |
| 06-25 17:01 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 06-21 00:30 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.475 | $2.38 |
| 06-14 17:40 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.82 |
| 06-09 15:00 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.76 |
| 06-09 03:44 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 06-01 16:35 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.908 | $4.54 |
| 06-01 16:35 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.942 | $5.65 |
| 06-01 16:34 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 05-28 04:00 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 05-24 20:17 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.92 |
| 05-24 20:17 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.61 |
| 04-26 21:37 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.09 |