PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ProbablyRight31

0xb6670f34f17edaa549a58c7dd4f90ad55aed0514

Realised P&L
$2.12
Volume
$234.23
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$27.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1170.121$5.19+$0.19
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4690.465$4.95−$0.05
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.3150.242$3.85−$1.15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2500.181$3.63−$1.37
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2060.140$3.40−$1.60
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1700.195$2.29+$0.29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7380.767$2.08+$0.08
Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1630.060$1.86−$3.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.6450.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 16:33Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4689999917$5.00
10-19 16:31Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1169999993$5.00
10-19 16:29Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3149999975$5.00
10-19 16:28Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.25$5.00
10-19 16:26Will Rodri finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1626591201$5.00
10-19 16:25Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2058823469$5.00
10-19 16:22Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-19 16:22Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.737999755$2.00
10-19 16:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSELL0.58$2.19
10-19 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-19 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETBUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-19 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL0.47$4.07
10-19 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-19 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-19 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.3499999825$1.00