PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Humble

0xb6644a21bea104c3a804ffe373d21fae41798669

Realised P&L
$-18.6k
Volume
$2.37M
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$11.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1040.055$5.5k−$4.9k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1100.055$5.1k−$5.1k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0090.005$602.14−$339.83
Will a Democrat win Washington Presidential Election? · No0.0180.000$0.00−$202.87
Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State · Georgia Southern0.4000.000$0.00−$110.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$8.1k
Will a Republican win Colorado Presidential Election? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$1.4k
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers0.4500.000$0.00−$35.00
Will 7 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$55.81
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Boston Red Sox0.5300.000$0.00−$171.92
Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans0.5300.000$0.00−$119.54
Will a Democrat win Oregon Presidential Election? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$47.80
Spread: Commanders (-3.5) · Commanders0.4800.000$0.00−$48.00
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · No0.5500.000$0.00−$66.00
Will 6 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$58.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 12:182026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.009$1.62
10-25 12:182026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.0089933$43.17
10-25 12:172026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.008587432$897.39
10-21 11:56Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0899999997$6.28
10-18 17:07Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$177.08
10-14 23:35Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.55$66.00
10-14 23:31Spread: Capitals (-1.5)BUY0.3099999986$30.00
10-14 23:31Kennesaw State vs. Missouri StateBUY0.4399999961$41.00
10-14 14:29Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$800.00
10-13 23:54Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.5899999983$98.04
10-13 23:53Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5)BUY0.5599999961$57.00
10-13 17:56Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$1.9k
10-13 17:552026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.008000001$1.3k
10-13 17:502026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.009$328.46
10-12 00:11Ravens vs. FalconsBUY0.3799999969$32.00