Humble
0xb6644a21bea104c3a804ffe373d21fae41798669
- Realised P&L
- $-18.6k
- Volume
- $2.37M
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $11.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$512.00at 0.451Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
- +$287.99at 0.520Bears vs. Commanders
- +$177.00at 0.410 Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?
- +$170.79at 0.417Steelers vs. Browns
- +$146.53at 0.210Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 12:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.009 | $1.62 |
| 10-25 12:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0089933 | $43.17 |
| 10-25 12:17 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.008587432 | $897.39 |
| 10-21 11:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $6.28 |
| 10-18 17:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $177.08 |
| 10-14 23:35 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.55 | $66.00 |
| 10-14 23:31 | Spread: Capitals (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 23:31 | Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State | BUY | 0.4399999961 | $41.00 |
| 10-14 14:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $800.00 |
| 10-13 23:54 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5899999983 | $98.04 |
| 10-13 23:53 | Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5599999961 | $57.00 |
| 10-13 17:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.9k |
| 10-13 17:55 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.008000001 | $1.3k |
| 10-13 17:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.009 | $328.46 |
| 10-12 00:11 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.3799999969 | $32.00 |