ckdddda
0xb6616eb72e9969f7e6c0750b6118e2e2686134f4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.09
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $42.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.61at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on April 28?
- +$32.22at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 9?
- +$32.20at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 23?
- +$32.11at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 17?
- +$32.10at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 09-18 06:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.96 |
| 09-16 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.96 |
| 09-15 06:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.91 |
| 09-14 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.91 |
| 09-13 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9986902326 | $42.94 |
| 09-12 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.96 |
| 09-11 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.95 |
| 09-10 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.91 |
| 09-09 07:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 18°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.87 |
| 09-09 07:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 17°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-09 07:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-08 05:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $41.58 |
| 09-07 07:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 20°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.96 |