0xB65Fe7b9D1547c91f19c12B674Edf920240eFff1-1776539317526
0xb65fe7b9d1547c91f19c12b674edf920240efff1
- Realised P&L
- $6.41
- Volume
- $124.3k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $368.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? · No | 0.927 | 0.915 | $368.58 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.11at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 30?
- +$154.30at 0.718Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 4?
- +$83.36at 0.725Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
- +$78.24at 0.698Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 2?
- +$77.68at 0.643Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.11 |
| 10-01 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.91 | $52.96 |
| 10-01 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.30 |
| 10-01 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.88 | $18.68 |
| 10-01 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-01 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $193.95 |
| 10-01 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9282652632 | $88.19 |
| 10-01 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.7950566669 | $104.53 |
| 09-30 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $11.92 |
| 09-30 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $31.49 |
| 09-30 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.961 | $44.21 |
| 09-30 20:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.66 |
| 09-30 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $17.68 |
| 09-30 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 2? | SELL | 0.979 | $40.14 |
| 09-30 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.83 |