4clasfo9n
0xb65c8730fa053a3a5fd8bd5ee9daadbf6e929dca
- Realised P&L
- $101.23
- Volume
- $62.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $45.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.977 | 0.953 | $14.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.993 | 0.991 | $10.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? · No | 0.989 | 0.994 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.988 | 0.980 | $5.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No | 0.991 | 0.994 | $4.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7? · No | 0.959 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.40at 0.560Spurs vs. Lakers
- +$7.54at 0.650Trump found guilty in hush money case?
- +$5.15at 0.660Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$3.22at 0.528Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.14at 0.975Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.988999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 08:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $11.00 |
| 10-07 07:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.9909999995 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 07:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9959999645 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 07:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 04:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September? | BUY | 0.9849999986 | $3.40 |
| 09-15 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.50 |
| 08-22 03:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9739999972 | $1.40 |
| 08-22 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.00 |
| 08-08 04:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9949999254 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.80 |
| 07-31 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $13.00 |
| 07-06 03:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 03:48 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |