Winteriscoming.
0xb64e609fdbd09cfc77cabc8eba3316f0bddd8e0d
- Realised P&L
- $61.18
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $6.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.11at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?
- +$8.44at 0.289Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 30?
- +$7.92at 0.877Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 31?
- +$0.35at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?
- +$0.25at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0161143869 | $1.41 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 11-01 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.21 |
| 11-01 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.19 |
| 11-01 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.90 |
| 11-01 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.071 | $2.48 |
| 11-01 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 11-01 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0435980977 | $6.51 |
| 11-01 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.22 |
| 11-01 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.28 |
| 11-01 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0995689655 | $11.55 |
| 11-01 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.0632618919 | $8.18 |
| 11-01 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.74 |
| 11-01 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.46 |