cgwxj8
0xb6442d9bba85a8aecbfe23ed08a930b0e37bc415
- Realised P&L
- $-27.03
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $1.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.529 | 0.460 | $1.73 | −$0.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$3.26at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999653 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $2.24 |
| 09-19 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 12:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $2.25 |
| 09-19 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999225 | $2.60 |
| 09-19 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998953 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 08:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $2.38 |
| 09-19 08:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999929 | $2.60 |
| 09-19 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999897 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7697946932 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $0.56 |
| 09-19 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 01:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $0.84 |