0xb63fbdb81ab4e1cbf3aec0fbbb4883bed2646430
0xb63fbdb81ab4e1cbf3aec0fbbb4883bed2646430
- Realised P&L
- $-5.78
- Volume
- $223.27
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $4.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.420 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.795 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.500 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.670 | 0.505 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.28at 0.308Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $161 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$2.85at 0.452Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$2.34at 0.500Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $157.50 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.550Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:53 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:51 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:24 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:48 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $183 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999835 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 10:41 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999031 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 02:10 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999102 | $2.12 |
| 09-20 03:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 09:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999349 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 23:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 14:54 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999858 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 06:47 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 09-13 22:28 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999159 | $2.29 |
| 09-11 12:01 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999738 | $2.29 |